by Martin Bürger, LifeSiteNews.com
A new “best estimate” by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) released last month seems to suggest that the mortality rate of those showing coronavirus symptoms is as low as 0.4 percent — much lower than initial estimates, but still significantly higher than seasonal flu.
The CDC provided the data in a document called “COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios.” Among the five scenarios provided by the CDC, the fifth “represents a current best estimate about viral transmission and disease severity in the United States, with the same caveat (as the other four): that the parameter values will change as more data become available.”
Thus, “(p)arameter values for disease severity, viral transmissibility, and pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic disease transmission that represent the best estimate, based on the latest surveillance data and scientific knowledge.”
The data used to prepare the fifth scenario was received before April 29th. In other words, no new data of the last four weeks was used.
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